
STEEP NORTH SLOPE 9-11 P.Z.
Scenario model
Current ecosystem state
Select a state
Management practices/drivers
Select a transition or restoration pathway
- Transition T1 More details
- Transition T1a More details
- Transition T1b More details
- Transition T2 More details
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No transition or restoration pathway between the selected states has been described
Target ecosystem state
Select a state
Description
The reference state is representative of the natural range of variability under pristine conditions. It is dominated by an evergreen shrub community. Community phase changes are primarily driven by long-term drought and periodic wildfire. Historically, blackbrush associations were long-lived stable communities that rarely experienced fire. Plant community phase changes were primarily driven by long term drought. Fire was infrequent and patchy due to low fuel loading. Reproduction and recruitment are episodic, based on favorable environmental conditions (Pendleton and Meyer 2004). Very old stands of blackbrush may have established hundreds to thousands of years ago under very different climatic conditions and will take a considerable amount of time to recover following disturbances.
Submodel
Description
The invaded state is characterized by the presence of non-native species. A biotic threshold is crossed, with the introduction of non-natives that are difficult to remove from the system and have the potential to alter disturbance regimes significantly from their natural range of variability. Introduced annuals such as red brome, cheatgrass and redstem filaree have invaded the reference plant community. These non-natives annuals are highly flammable and promote wildfires where fires historically have been infrequent. Following a disturbance this state relies on the availability of a nearby seed source.
Submodel
Description
The tree state is characterized by an increase of pinyon-juniper and tree cover greater than 20 percent. Lack of fire and other disturbance allows seedlings and saplings to infill and eventually dominate, changing the ecological dynamics of the site. Non-native annuals may or may not be present in the understory. This state experiences reduced infiltration and increased runoff during precipitation events, diminishing soil moisture. Feedbacks contributing to the stability of this state include reduced understory vegetation resulting from decreased soil moisture and overstory shading.
Submodel
Mechanism
Introduction of non-natives due to anthropogenic disturbances including recreation, linear corridors, military operations and historic mining and grazing.
Mechanism
Introduction of non-native species due to a combination of factors including: 1) surface disturbance, 2) changes in the kinds of animals and their grazing patterns, 3) drought and/or 4) changes in fire history.
Mechanism
Continued lack of disturbance. Encroachment and establishment of pinyon and juniper. Tree canopy is greater than 20 percent and bare ground is increasing.
Model keys
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Ecological sites
Major Land Resource Areas
The Ecosystem Dynamics Interpretive Tool is an information system framework developed by the USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service, and New Mexico State University.