Clayey - South
Scenario model
Current ecosystem state
Select a state
Management practices/drivers
Select a transition or restoration pathway
- Transition T1C More details
- Transition T1D More details
- Transition T1B More details
- Transition T1A More details
- Restoration pathway R2A More details
- Transition T2A More details
- Transition T2B More details
- Restoration pathway R3A More details
- Transition T3A More details
- Transition T4A More details
- Transition T4D More details
- Transition T4C More details
- Transition T4B More details
- Transition T5C More details
- Transition T5A More details
- Transition T5B More details
- Transition T6B More details
- Transition T6A More details
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No transition or restoration pathway between the selected states has been described
Target ecosystem state
Select a state
Description
The Reference State represents what is believed to show the natural range of variability that dominated the dynamics of the ecological site prior to European settlement. This site in the Reference State (1.0) is dominated by cool-season grasses and subdominant warm-season grasses. Grazing or the lack of grazing, fire, and drought are the major drivers between plant communities. Continuous season-long grazing can push this state to a warm-season shortgrass-dominated State (2.0). Non-use, no fire, and invasion of non-native cool-season grasses will result in a transition to a Native/Invaded State (4.0). Long-term fire suppression and conifer encroachment can transition the Reference State (1.0) to the Conifer State (6.0).
Submodel
Description
This state occurs as a result of above recommended stocking levels, inadequate recovery periods between grazing events, or a combination of these disturbances. This state is dominated by warm--season grasses, with cool-season grasses being subdominant. The shallow, compact nature of the roots of the dominant species causes increased runoff and reduced infiltration. In addition, reduced shading due to a lesser amount of foliar cover causes increased soil temperatures and increased evaporation of the surface soil moisture. These conditions combine to cause the site to become more droughty, and thus reduce the opportunity for recruitment and establishment of the taller statured grasses. This state is relatively stable and resistant to change.
Submodel
Description
This state occurs as a result of extreme disturbance that typically removes most of the native species normally present on this site. Disturbance in the form of severe grazing over several years are the most typical. Occupation by black-tailed prairie dogs may also result in this transition. The dominant species present is highly variable, but the common characteristics include high amounts of bare ground, reduced soil aggregate stability, increased runoff and increased erosion (including increased sediment loads in the runoff). Restoration of the ecological processes will be very difficult.
Submodel
Description
The Native/Invaded State is dominated by native cool- and warm-season grasses, and subdominant non-native cool-season grasses (< 15 percent composition by weight). It can be found on areas that would appear to be properly managed with grazing and possibly prescribed burning. Extended periods of non-use and no fire, or long-term light grazing can result in the invasion and establishment of non-native cool-season grasses on this site. As native cool-season grasses decline a corresponding increase of non-native cool-season grasses will occur. The non-native cool-season grasses will include, smooth brome, Kentucky bluegrass, cheatgrass, field brome, and timothy. This a sustainable state in regard to site and soil stability, and watershed function.
Submodel
Description
This State is the result of invasion and dominance of non-native cool-season grass species. This State is characterized by the dominance of smooth brome and Kentucky bluegrass. Continuous seasonal grazing (typically during the summer), or long-term light grazing (understocked) will tend to result in an increase of smooth brome. Non-use and no fire will tend to benefit Kentucky bluegrass due to an increasing thatch layer that effectively blocks the introduction of other plants into the system.
Plant litter accumulation tends to favor the more shade-tolerant introduced grass species. The nutrient cycle is impaired, and the result is typically a higher level of nitrogen which also favors the introduced species. Increasing plant litter decreases the amount of sunlight reaching plant crowns, thereby shifting competitive advantage to shade-tolerant, introduced grass species. Studies indicate that soil biological activity is altered, and this shift apparently exploits the soil microclimate and encourages growth of the introduced grass species.
Once the threshold is crossed, a change in grazing management alone cannot cause a reduction in the invasive grass dominance. Preliminary studies indicate this threshold may exist when Kentucky bluegrass exceeds 30 percent of the plant community and native grasses represent less than 40 percent of the plant community composition. Plant communities dominated by Kentucky bluegrass have significantly less cover and diversity of native grasses and forb species (Toledo, D. et al., 2014).
Submodel
Description
This Conifer State consists of areas where tree canopy increases to a level that impedes the reproductive capability of the major native perennial grass species. The increase in conifer canopy is a result of encroachment from forest sites, or from rangeland sites that have been invaded; and the disruption of the natural historic fire regime that kept the trees in an immature stage. This state is reached when mature conifer canopy reaches approximately 25 percent or more. The canopy typically is dominated by ponderosa pine, but Rocky Mountain juniper may also be present in varying amounts.
With continued long-term fire suppression and no brush management, the conifer canopy can eventually become closed with much of the herbaceous understory lost. This loss is partly driven by the interception of precipitation. Ponderosa pine canopy can significantly reduce precipitation reaching the ground due to canopy interception. In areas with intermediate and dense canopy’s, the expected reduction can reach 30 percent (Wrage, 1994).
Submodel
Mechanism
Continuous seasonal grazing (stocking levels above carrying capacity for extended portions of the growing season, and at the same time of year each year, typically beginning early in the season) or continuous season-long grazing will transition the Reference State (1.0) to the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0). This transition is most likely to occur from the Western Wheatgrass-Blue Grama-Buffalograss Plant Community (1.2).
Mechanism
Heavy, continuous season-long grazing; frequent and severe defoliation; or heavy disturbance areas such as livestock or wildlife concentration areas will transition the Reference State (1.0) to the Early Successional State (3.0).
Mechanism
The invasion of non-native cool-season grasses; continuous seasonal grazing (stocking levels above carrying capacity for extended portions of the growing season, and at the same time of year each year, typically beginning early in the season); long-term light grazing; or no use and no fire will transition the Reference State (1.0) to the Native/Invaded State (4.0).
Mechanism
Long-term no fire and the encroachment and establishment of conifers will transition the Reference State (1.0) to the Conifer State (6.0).
Mechanism
Long-term prescribed grazing (moderate stocking levels coupled with adequate recovery periods, or periodic light to moderate stocking levels possibly including periodic rest) may lead the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0) over a threshold to the Reference State (1.0). This is assuming adequate seed and vegetative sources are present. This could require significant time and inputs to achieve and, in the end, may not meet management objectives.
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Grazing |
Mechanism
Heavy, continuous season-long grazing; frequent severe defoliation; or heavy disturbance will likely move the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0) to the Early Successional State (3.0).
Mechanism
The invasion of non-native cool-season perennial grasses; long-term prescribed grazing with proper stocking rates, change in season of use, and adequate time for recovery will transition the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0) towards the Native/Invaded State (4.0). This transition could require significant time and inputs to achieve and, in the end, may not meet management objectives.
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Grazing |
Mechanism
Removal of disturbances coupled with long-term prescribed grazing with proper stocking levels, change in season of use, and adequate recovery time following grazing event may return the Early Successional State (3.0) to the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0). Herbaceous weed control may also be needed. This transition could require significant time and input to achieve and, in the end, may not meet management objectives.
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Grazing |
|
Herbaceous Weed Control |
Mechanism
Invasion of non-native cool-season grasses; removal of disturbances; herbaceous weed control; followed by prescribed grazing that includes proper stocking, change in season of use, and deferment that provides time for adequate recovery, will likely transition the Early Successional State (3.0) to the Invaded State (5.0). This transition may not meet management objectives.
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Grazing |
|
Herbaceous Weed Control |
Mechanism
Continuous season-long grazing or continuous seasonal grazing will transition the Native/Invaded State (4.0) to the Shortgrass Sod State (2.0).
Mechanism
Heavy, continuous season-long grazing; frequent and severe defoliation; or heavy disturbance will transition the Native/Invaded State (4.0) to the Early Successional State (3.0).
Mechanism
Continuous seasonal grazing, or long-term light grazing will transition the Native/Invaded State (4.0) to the Invaded State (5.0). With extended periods of non-use and no fire, heavy litter layer build-up will favor cool-season non-natives grasses such as Kentucky bluegrass, smooth brome, and timothy. This major shift in functional groups will also transition the Native/Invaded State (4.0) to the Invaded State (5.0).
Mechanism
Long-term no fire and the encroachment and establishment of conifers will transition the Native/Invaded State (4.0) to the Conifer State (6.0).
Mechanism
Heavy, continuous season-long grazing; frequent and severe defoliation; or heavy disturbance will transition the Invaded State (5.0) to the Early Successional State (3.0).
Mechanism
Herbaceous weed control; followed by long-term prescribed grazing that includes proper stocking, change in season of use, and deferment that provides time for adequate plant recovery may transition the Invaded State (5.0) to the Native/Invaded State (4.0). This transition could require significant time and input to achieve and, in the end, may not meet management objectives.
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Grazing |
|
Herbaceous Weed Control |
Mechanism
Long-term no fire and the encroachment and establishment of conifers will transition the Invaded State (5.0) to the Conifer State (6.0).
Mechanism
High-intensity fire or prescribed burning that removes all or most of the conifer encroachment, and adversely affects the herbaceous understory will likely transition the Conifer State (6.0) to the Early Successional State (3.0).
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Prescribed Burning |
Mechanism
Low-intensity fire; prescribed burning; or mechanical brush management will treat conifer encroachment on this site and will transition the Conifer State (6.0) to the Invaded State (5.0)
Relevant conservation practices
Practice | External resources |
---|---|
Brush Management |
|
Prescribed Burning |
Model keys
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The Ecosystem Dynamics Interpretive Tool is an information system framework developed by the USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service, and New Mexico State University.