JD Mountain North 12-16 PZ
Scenario model
Current ecosystem state
Select a state
Management practices/drivers
Select a transition or restoration pathway
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Transition T1A
Introduction of non-native species
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Transition T2A
Less frequent fire or extended drought reduces perennial bunchgrasses and allows for an increase in shrub and tree species
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Transition T2B
Catastrophic fire, often coupled with soil disturbing activities or extended drought.
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Transition T2C
Time and lack of disturbance allows for maturation of the tree community
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Transition T3A
Catastrophic fire, multiple fires, or soil disturbing treatments or activities.
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Transition T3B
Time and lack of disturbance allows for maturation of the tree community.
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Restoration pathway R5A
Mechanical treatment of trees coupled with seeding of desired species.
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Restoration pathway R5B
Mechanical treatment of trees
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Transition T5A
Catastrophic fire
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No transition or restoration pathway between the selected states has been described
Target ecosystem state
Select a state
Description
The Reference State 1.0 is a representation of the natural range of variability under pristine conditions. The reference state has 3 general community phases; a shrub-grass dominant phase, a perennial grass dominant phase and a shrub dominant phase. State dynamics are maintained by interactions between climatic patterns and disturbance regimes. Negative feedbacks enhance ecosystem resilience and contribute to the stability of the state. These include the presence of all structural and functional groups, low fine fuel loads, and retention of organic matter and nutrients. Plant community phase changes are primarily driven by fire, periodic drought and/or insect or disease attack. Negative feedbacks enhance ecosystem resilience and contribute to the stability of the state. These feedbacks include the presence of all structural and functional groups, low fine fuel loads, and retention of organic matter and nutrients.
Submodel
Description
This state is similar to the Reference State 1.0 with three similar community phases. Ecological function has not changed, however the resiliency of the state has been reduced by the presence of invasive weeds. Non-natives may increase in abundance but will not become dominant within this State. These non-natives can be highly flammable and can promote fire where historically fire had been infrequent. Negative feedbacks enhance ecosystem resilience and contribute to the stability of the state. These feedbacks include the presence of all structural and functional groups, low fine fuel loads, and retention of organic matter and nutrients. Positive feedbacks decrease ecosystem resilience and stability of the state. These include the non-natives’ high seed output, persistent seed bank, rapid growth rate, residual dry matter accumulation, and adaptations for seed dispersal.
Submodel
Description
This state is a product of many years of heavy grazing during time periods harmful to perennial bunchgrasses, changes in the historic fire regime or long-term drought favoring shrub establishment. Grazing tolerant Sandberg bluegrass will increase with a reduction in deep rooted perennial bunchgrass competition and become the dominant grass. Sagebrush dominates the overstory and rabbitbrush may be a significant component. Sagebrush cover exceeds site concept and may be decadent, reflecting stand maturity and lack of seedling establishment due to competition with mature plants. The shrub overstory and Sandberg bluegrass understory dominate site resources such that soil water, nutrient capture, nutrient cycling and soil organic matter are temporally and spatially redistributed (3.1). In both community phases, bare ground may be significant with soil redistribution occurring between interspace and shrub locations. Western juniper increases and may begin to influence the understory vegetation.
Submodel
Description
This community is characterized by the dominance of annual non-native species such as cheatgrass, medusahead, and tansy mustard in the understory. Sagebrush and rabbitbrush may dominate the overstory.
Submodel
Description
This state is characterized by a dominance of western juniper in the overstory. Sagebrush and perennial bunchgrasses may still be present, but they are no longer controlling site resources. Soil moisture, soil nutrients and soil organic matter distribution and cycling have been spatially and temporally altered.
Submodel
Mechanism
Less frequent fire or extended drought reduces perennial bunchgrasses and allows for an increase in shrub and tree species
Mechanism
Catastrophic fire, often coupled with soil disturbing activities or extended drought.
Mechanism
Time and lack of disturbance allows for maturation of the tree community
Mechanism
Catastrophic fire, multiple fires, or soil disturbing treatments or activities.
Mechanism
Time and lack of disturbance allows for maturation of the tree community.
Mechanism
Mechanical treatment of trees coupled with seeding of desired species.
Mechanism
Mechanical treatment of trees
Model keys
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Ecological sites
Major Land Resource Areas
The Ecosystem Dynamics Interpretive Tool is an information system framework developed by the USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service, and New Mexico State University.